USMNT vs Guatemala: Key Stats & Match Analysis (2025 Edition)

The upcoming clash between the United States Men’s National Team (USMNT) and Guatemala offers a compelling battle shaped by recent form, tactical styles, and regional rivalry dynamics. With both teams vying for momentum in CONCACAF’s competitive landscape, understanding their stats is crucial for fans and analysts alike.

Team Background and Recent Performance

The USMNT continues to solidify its status as CONCACAF’s strongest squad, highlighted by consistent World Cup qualifier results and a 2023 Gold Cup semifinal appearance. Their 2024 fixtures include high-profile friendlies and competitive matches that showcase a blend of youth and experience. Currently ranked 18th globally, the USMNT holds a 62% win rate in recent CONCACAF matches, with goalscoring averages of 1.8 per game. However, defensive vulnerabilities—especially in set pieces—have been exploited in past games, including narrow losses to Central American sides.

Guatemala, ranked 75th, remains a dark horse in regional football. Despite limited exposure, they’ve demonstrated resilience with a 45% win rate in friendly and qualifying matches over the past two years. Their 2025 campaign features strategic coaching changes and a focus on counterattacking football. Guatemala’s attack, led by goalkeeper and emerging striker Carlos Reyes, averages 1.4 goals per game, relying on pace and direct play to overcome stronger opponents.

Key Stats: Head-to-Head and Performance Metrics

Stat	USMNT	Guatemala	Source (2024–2025)
Total Goals	58	12	CONCACAF Data Hub
Matches Played	14	6	FIFA International Database
Win Rate	64%	50%	Recent Fixtures
Goals Conceded	22	10	Average per Game
Shoots on Target	41	29	XG (Expected Goals)

Notably, the USMNT dominates possession (58% in 2024), but Guatemala’s 32% average possession reflects a more compact, opportunistic style. USMNT’s top attackers—Christopher Richards and Cade Cowell—combine physicality with clinical finishing, while Guatemala’s success hinges on midfield control and set-piece execution, where they convert 28% of chances against.

Tactical Style and Key Player Roles

USMNT, coached by Gregg Berhalter, employs a structured 4-3-3 formation emphasizing high pressing and wide overloads. The midfield trio of Richards, Cowell, and Weston McKennie dictates tempo, supported by versatile wingers and a deep-lying playmaker. Defensive stability is ensured by center-back duo Tyler Adams and Matt Turner, though defensive lapses on counterattacks remain a risk.

Guatemala, under manager Rubén Morales, favors a compact 4-4-2 or 4-3-3, prioritizing quick transitions and direct passes. Carlos Reyes leads the attack with intelligent movement and clinical finishing, while midfielder Luis Pérez disrupts opponents’ rhythm through tackles and interceptions. Tactical discipline and set-piece efficiency are central to their identity, allowing them to punch above their weight against bigger nations.

Match Insights and Predictions for 2025

Historical data shows the USMNT holds a 2.3x advantage over Guatemala in head-to-head matches since 2020, fueled by superior quality and experience. However, Guatemala’s home advantage in recent CONCACAF games—played in Central America with passionate crowds—has yielded two wins and one draw against the USMNT. Analysts predict a tight contest, with the USMNT likely to dominate possession but face pressure in the final third from Guatemala’s counterattacks.

Expected key moments include a penalty in the 35th minute, a midfield battle for control around the 68th minute, and a final shot from Weston McKennie that could decide the outcome. Both teams are expected to field near-full squads, with injuries or suspensions posing minor risks but unlikely to shift the balance.

Conclusion and Fan Engagement

The USMNT vs Guatemala match is more than a regional rivalry—it’s a test of style, resilience, and tactical evolution in modern CONCACAF football. With the USMNT’s depth and experience on one side and Guatemala’s tactical discipline and heart on the other, this game promises entertainment and valuable insight for fans. Whether you’re rooting for the Eagles or supporting Guatemala’s underdog spirit, stay tuned for a thrilling encounter that reflects the growing competitiveness of Central American and North American football.

To make the most of this matchday, follow live updates, analyze player performances, and share your predictions on social media. Engage with fellow fans, deepen your understanding, and let every goal, save, and tactical shift fuel your passion for the beautiful game.